De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vijverberg, Doetinchem
The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1. If De Graafschap wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate De Graafschap (1,690) and VVV Venlo (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
VVV Venlo
4-2-3-1- 17L. Schmidt
- 7E. Zuliani
- 38Tristan Schenkhuizen
- 11N. Ait Mouhou
- 24M. Odriss
- 8Ismail Oulad M'Hand
- 4É. Clancy
- 14Raf Vullers
- 33G. Blancquart
- 16P. Heise
- 13Y. Schoonderwaldt
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, De Graafschap have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; VVV Venlo have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Roda(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 De Graafschap wins, 1 draw, 2 VVV Venlo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo 2-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 11, 2026 | VVV Venlo 3-3 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2025 | De Graafschap 3-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 28, 2025 | VVV Venlo 3-1 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 1, 2024 | De Graafschap 3-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2024 | De Graafschap 3-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: VVV Venlo vs De Graafschap on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
De Graafschap sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 21 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
A question about De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab AI model makes De Graafschap the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo played?
- De Graafschap vs VVV Venlo is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vijverberg, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.