Den Bosch vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Den Bosch. The most likely score is 1-1. If NAC Breda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs NAC Breda?
NAC Breda starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Den Bosch vs NAC Breda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; NAC Breda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Den Bosch win, 1 draw, 4 NAC Breda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2024 | Den Bosch 2-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 24, 2023 | NAC Breda 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 7, 2023 | NAC Breda 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Den Bosch 3-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 13, 2022 | NAC Breda 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Den Bosch 0-5 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs NAC Breda on Apr 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and NAC Breda sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
A question about Den Bosch vs NAC Breda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Den Bosch.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs NAC Breda played?
- Den Bosch vs NAC Breda is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.