Roda vs Heracles: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Roda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roda vs Heracles?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Roda vs Heracles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Roda
3-4-2-1- 9A. van den Hurk
- 4J. Nisbet
- 5K. Jansen
- 11D. Dorenbosch
- 25Bram Marsman
- 14X. van den Berg
- 8J. Mensah
- 3M. Tol
- 15L. Beerten
- 33D. Van den Buijs
- 1J. Treichel
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roda have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Heracles have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Roda wins, 2 draws, 4 Heracles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | Heracles 1-0 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Roda 1-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Roda 2-2 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
| Mar 2, 2018 | Roda 0-3 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Heracles 2-1 Roda | Eredivisie |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Heracles 2-2 Roda | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Roda score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roda sit 6th in Eerste Divisie (16 points from 10 matches) and Heracles sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
A question about Roda vs Heracles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roda vs Heracles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Roda.
- Where and when is Roda vs Heracles played?
- Roda vs Heracles is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.