Felgueiras 1932 vs Academica: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Felgueiras 1932. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Academica?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,932) and Academica (2,027).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Academica have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Felgueiras 1932 win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Academica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Academica 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 | Liga 3 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Academica | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Academica vs Felgueiras 1932 on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Academica score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Academica | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 11th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Academica sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs Academica?
- The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Felgueiras 1932.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs Academica played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs Academica is played on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.