Farense vs Portimonense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,619 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Portimonense?
Farense starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farense vs Portimonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 10S. Singh
- 44N. Zolotić
- 78Alex Pinto
- 22Toni Herrero
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 97F. Buntić
Portimonense
3-4-3- 7Danio Djassi
- 2Edney
- 10S. Nakajima
- 15Xavier
- 8João Casimiro
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 6S. Neves
- 1Dudu
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Portimonense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sacavenense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farense win, 1 draw, 4 Portimonense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Portimonense 1-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Farense 0-1 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Portimonense 0-0 Farense | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 18, 2024 | Farense 1-3 Portimonense | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Portimonense 1-0 Farense | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Farense 2-1 Portimonense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Portimonense vs Farense on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Portimonense | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farense sit 3rd in Segunda Liga (14 points from 7 matches) and Portimonense sit 11th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Farense vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Portimonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Farense vs Portimonense played?
- Farense vs Portimonense is played on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.