Vizela vs Leixoes: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leixoes wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vizela vs Leixoes?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Vizela (1,962) and Leixoes (1,993).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vizela vs Leixoes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vizela
4-2-3-1- 36M. Lacava
- 8A. Bastunov
- 6Giovani Bamba
- 16Miguel Pires
- 24H. Mörschel
- 11N. Thio
- 4J. Rhyner
- 20B. Godwin
- 13Luís Rocha
- 55A. Hristov
- 1Antonio Gomis
Leixoes
4-1-3-2- 7Salvador Agra
- 6A. Balde
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 4Matheus Costa
- 77Paulinho
- 15Simãozinho
- 63H. Faria
- 51I. Stefanović
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vizela have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Leixoes have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bombarralense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vianense(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Vizela wins, 1 draw, 1 Leixoes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leixoes 3-2 Vizela | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Leixoes 1-2 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Vizela 2-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Vizela 0-0 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Leixoes 0-1 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 29, 2021 | Leixoes 0-4 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vizela score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Leixoes | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vizela sit 8th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 7 matches) and Leixoes sit 10th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Vizela vs Leixoes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vizela vs Leixoes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Vizela vs Leixoes played?
- Vizela vs Leixoes is played on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Vizela, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.