Chaves vs Torreense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, Chaves
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chaves. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torreense wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chaves vs Torreense?
Torreense starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,081 vs 1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chaves vs Torreense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chaves
4-3-3- 10André Rodrigues
- 30Costinha
- 17Roberto
- 19Gilberto García
- 42Aílson Tavares
- 16D. Yearwood
- 23Léo Alabá
- 34Ricardo Alves
- 33Tiago Simões
- 7R. Esajas
- 1João Valido
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 27M. Abubakari
- 7D. Jean
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 5M. Diadie
- 11Manu Pozo
- 22David Bruno
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 2Stopira
- 31Adriel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chaves have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Torreense have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Farense(away) | 0-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guarda(away) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Chaves wins, 0 draws, 0 Torreense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chaves 2-0 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Torreense 0-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Torreense 1-2 Chaves | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Chaves 2-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 14, 2016 | Torreense 2-3 Chaves | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Chaves score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Torreense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chaves sit 17th in Segunda Liga (5 points from 7 matches) and Torreense sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Chaves vs Torreense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chaves vs Torreense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Chaves.
- Where and when is Chaves vs Torreense played?
- Chaves vs Torreense is played on December 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.