Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 7Kick-off on January 20, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Villarreal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenerbahçe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
On Elo ratings, Fenerbahçe has 2,201 points and Villarreal 2,186.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 70O. Aydın
- 91N. Kanté
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 37M. Škriniar
- 3A. Brown
- 15N. Aké
- 31Ederson
Villarreal
4-4-2- 9G. Mikautadze
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 18P. Gueye
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 17T. Buchanan
- 12Renato Veiga
- 15S. Mouriño
- 6Pau Navarro
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 25P. Gulácsi
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Villarreal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Fenerbahçe win, 0 draws, 0 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Fenerbahçe 2-1 Villarreal | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal on Dec 3, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 31st in UEFA Champions League (2 points from 3 matches) and Villarreal sit 19th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
A question about Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Villarreal.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Villarreal is played on January 20, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.