Espanyol vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Espanyol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Villarreal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol vs Villarreal?
Villarreal starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,172 vs 2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Espanyol vs Villarreal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Espanyol
4-2-3-1- 9Roberto Fernández
- 28Javier Hernandez
- 8Edu Expósito
- 24T. Dolan
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 4Urko González
- 6L. Cabrera
- 23O. El Hilali
- 5C. Riedel
- 21Roger Hinojo
- 13M. Dmitrović
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 24N. Saliba
- 12Renato Veiga
- 6Pau Navarro
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 3A. Freeman
- 25P. Gulácsi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Elche(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Espanyol wins, 0 draws, 6 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Villarreal 4-1 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Espanyol 0-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Villarreal 1-0 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 27, 2023 | Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol | La Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Espanyol on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espanyol sit 12th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Villarreal sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Espanyol vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Villarreal the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Espanyol.
- Where and when is Espanyol vs Villarreal played?
- Espanyol vs Villarreal is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stage Front Stadium, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.