Fenix vs Paysandu: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 23Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Parque Capurro, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Fenix the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Paysandu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenix wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenix vs Paysandu?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Fenix (1,654) and Paysandu (1,597).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenix vs Paysandu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenix
Not enough data to predict the Fenix lineup.
Paysandu
Not enough data to predict the Paysandu lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenix have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Paysandu have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oriental(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Boston River(away) | 2-3 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Colón(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenix score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paysandu score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Paysandu | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenix sit 8th in Segunda División (30 points from 22 matches) and Paysandu sit 9th (28 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fenix | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 30 |
| 9 | Paysandu | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
A question about Fenix vs Paysandu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenix vs Paysandu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenix the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Paysandu.
- Where and when is Fenix vs Paysandu played?
- Fenix vs Paysandu is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Capurro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.