Miramar vs Cerrito: prediction and stats
Segunda División2nd Phase - 23Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Cerrito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Miramar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miramar vs Cerrito?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Miramar (1,739) and Cerrito (1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Miramar vs Cerrito
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Cerrito
Not enough data to predict the Cerrito lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miramar have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cerrito have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atenas(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 4-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 2-1 | National League - National |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sportivo Huracan(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Luz(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Copa Uruguay |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Miramar win, 4 draws, 1 Cerrito win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2023 | Cerrito 1-6 Miramar | Segunda División |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Miramar 2-2 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Cerrito 2-2 Miramar | Segunda División |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Cerrito 1-1 Miramar | Segunda División |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Miramar 1-1 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2017 | Cerrito 1-0 Miramar | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Miramar score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Cerrito | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miramar sit 12th in Segunda División (26 points from 22 matches) and Cerrito sit 7th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cerrito | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 32 |
| 12 | Miramar | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 26 |
A question about Miramar vs Cerrito?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miramar vs Cerrito?
- The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Cerrito.
- Where and when is Miramar vs Cerrito played?
- Miramar vs Cerrito is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Palermo, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.