Ferencváros II vs Budafoki LC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, Budapest
The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Budafoki LC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencváros II vs Budafoki LC?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Ferencváros II (1,571) and Budafoki LC (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencváros II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Budafoki LC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dunaujvaros FC(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencváros II score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencváros II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencváros II sit 4th in NB III - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Budafoki LC sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ferencváros II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencváros II vs Budafoki LC?
- The Footlab model makes Ferencváros II the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Budafoki LC.
- Where and when is Ferencváros II vs Budafoki LC played?
- Ferencváros II vs Budafoki LC is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at FTC Népligeti Sportcentrum, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.