Érdi VSE vs PTE-PEAC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, Érd
The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PTE-PEAC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Érdi VSE vs PTE-PEAC?
Érdi VSE starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,496 vs 1,354).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Érdi VSE have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; PTE-PEAC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Budafoki LC(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Érdi VSE win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 PTE-PEAC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | PTE-PEAC 1-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Érdi VSE 2-0 PTE-PEAC | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PTE-PEAC 2-0 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Érdi VSE 1-2 PTE-PEAC | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; PTE-PEAC score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| PTE-PEAC | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Érdi VSE sit 9th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 3 matches) and PTE-PEAC sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PTE-PEAC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Érdi VSE vs PTE-PEAC?
- The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PTE-PEAC.
- Where and when is Érdi VSE vs PTE-PEAC played?
- Érdi VSE vs PTE-PEAC is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.