Pécsi MFC vs Szekszárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)PMFC Stadion, Pécs
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Szekszárd. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pécsi MFC vs Szekszárd?
Pécsi MFC is a heavy favourite: 1,705 Elo points against 1,275 — a 430-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pécsi MFC have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Szekszárd have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 0-8 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 0-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Pécsi MFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Szekszárd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Szekszárd 1-4 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 4-0 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Pécsi MFC 2-0 Szekszárd | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Szekszárd 0-1 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Szekszárd 1-3 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Pécsi MFC 4-0 Szekszárd | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: Szekszárd vs Pécsi MFC on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Szekszárd score 1.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Szekszárd | 1.0 | 3.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pécsi MFC sit 1st in NB III - Southwest (12 points from 4 matches) and Szekszárd sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 16 | Szekszárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pécsi MFC vs Szekszárd?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 93%, against 5% for a draw and 2% for Szekszárd.
- Where and when is Pécsi MFC vs Szekszárd played?
- Pécsi MFC vs Szekszárd is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at PMFC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.