Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Iváncsai Sportpálya, Iváncsa
The Footlab AI model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iváncsa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Iváncsa (1,540) and MTK Budapest II (1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Iváncsa
Not enough data to predict the Iváncsa lineup.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iváncsa have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 4-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 4-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Szeged 2011(home) | 0-4 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Iváncsa wins, 1 draw, 2 MTK Budapest II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Iváncsa 0-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 26, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Iváncsa 2-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 31, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 0-3 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Iváncsa 2-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iváncsa score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iváncsa | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iváncsa sit 8th in NB III - Southwest (15 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 15 |
| 8 | Iváncsa | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Iváncsai Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.