Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Iváncsai Sportpálya, Iváncsa
The Footlab model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Iváncsa (1,556) and MTK Budapest II (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iváncsa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Balatonlelle SE(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Iváncsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 MTK Budapest II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Iváncsa 0-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 26, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Iváncsa 2-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 22, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 31, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 0-3 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Iváncsa 2-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Iváncsa score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iváncsa | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iváncsa sit 8th in NB III - Southwest (6 points from 3 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Iváncsa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab model makes Iváncsa the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Iváncsa vs MTK Budapest II is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Iváncsai Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.