Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 5Kick-off on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Aréna, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Celje. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,238 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje?
Ferencvarosi TC starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (2,194 vs 1,939).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferencvarosi TC
4-2-3-1- 11B. Yusuf
- 16K. Zachariassen
- 7V. Birmančević
- 17M. Corbu
- 6Á. Nagy
- 80H. Maïga
- 4M. Gómez
- 28T. Raemaekers
- 20Cadu
- 14A. Osváth
- 90D. Dibusz
Celje
4-3-3- 7B. Verbič
- 25V. Tusha
- 47A. Kučys
- 10S. Sešlar
- 19M. Zabukovnik
- 13Papa Mustapha Daniel
- 6A. Tutyškinas
- 44Ł. Bejger
- 11M. Avdyli
- 2P. Širvys
- 1Žan-Luk Leban
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferencvarosi TC have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Celje have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Vasas(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Nov 5, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Paks(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 4-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Oct 25, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 5-0 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 4-0 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferencvarosi TC score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Celje | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferencvarosi TC sit 3rd in UEFA Europa League (12 points from 4 matches) and Celje sit 25th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferencvarosi TC the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Celje.
- Where and when is Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje played?
- Ferencvarosi TC vs Celje is played on November 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Aréna, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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