Ferroviario vs Maranguape: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Maranguape. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ferroviario wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,953 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferroviario vs Maranguape?
On Elo ratings, Ferroviario has 1,603 points and Maranguape 1,509.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferroviario vs Maranguape
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferroviario
Not enough data to predict the Ferroviario lineup.
Maranguape
4-3-3- 9Hulk Felipe
- 19Breno Araujo
- 11Pedrinho
- 7Clodo
- 8Lessinho
- 10Luis Guilherme
- 3Mael
- 2Rian Kelvi
- 16Nailton
- 23Germano
- 12Otavio de Oliveira Duarte
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maranguape have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Goiatuba EC(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Central SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Fluminense PI(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Quixada(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Maracanã(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maranguape score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maranguape | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Maranguape sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MaranguapeCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | FerroviarioCearense: Regular season | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Ferroviario vs Maranguape?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferroviario vs Maranguape?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviario the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Maranguape.
- Where and when is Ferroviario vs Maranguape played?
- Ferroviario vs Maranguape is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.