Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-0 and analysis
Cearense - 12nd Phase - 4Kick-off on March 5, 2020 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC?
Ferroviario won 1-0 on March 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 2′J. QuinteroFerroviario (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | Barbalha(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 2-4 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Guarany de Sobral(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Ceara(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Barbalha(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2020 | Barbalha(home) | 4-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 28, 2020 | Independiente(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Confiança(away) | 0-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 17, 2020 | Imperatriz(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 14, 2020 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy