Floresta vs Iguatu: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, Horizonte, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Floresta the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Iguatu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Floresta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,963 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Floresta vs Iguatu?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Floresta (1,623) and Iguatu (1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Floresta vs Iguatu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Floresta
4-3-3- 11Rafinha
- 7Baianinho
- 19Matheus Lima
- 17Nonato
- 21Rafa Marcos
- 13Garraty
- 4Joao Victor
- 23Islan
- 16Zulu
- 29Caique
- 12Dheimison
Iguatu
Not enough data to predict the Iguatu lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Floresta have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Iguatu have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Maringá(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nacional AM(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nacional AM(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Tuna Luso(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tuna Luso(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Floresta win, 2 draws, 2 Iguatu wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Floresta 1-1 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Floresta 1-0 Iguatu | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Iguatu 1-1 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Iguatu 1-0 Floresta | Cearense - 1 |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Iguatu 1-0 Floresta | Cearense - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Floresta score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Iguatu score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floresta | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Iguatu | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Floresta sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (7 points from 4 matches) and Iguatu sit 3rd (6 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Floresta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Floresta vs Iguatu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Floresta vs Iguatu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Floresta the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Iguatu.
- Where and when is Floresta vs Iguatu played?
- Floresta vs Iguatu is played on January 31, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Olímpico Horácio Domingos de Sousa, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.