Feyenoord vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
Feyenoord starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,113 vs 1,997).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Utrecht have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Feyenoord win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Utrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Utrecht 0-1 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Feyenoord 3-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Feyenoord 1-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Utrecht 0-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Feyenoord 4-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Feyenoord 2-1 Utrecht | KNVB Beker |
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 2.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 7th in Eredivisie (4 points from 2 matches) and Utrecht sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs Utrecht played?
- Feyenoord vs Utrecht is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:15 AM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.