Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Groningen (1,950) and PEC Zwolle (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; PEC Zwolle have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Twente(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Groningen win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 PEC Zwolle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Groningen 2-2 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| May 18, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 2-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Groningen 0-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 5, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 0-0 Groningen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2022 | PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle vs Groningen on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| PEC Zwolle | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 2nd in Eredivisie (6 points from 2 matches) and PEC Zwolle sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
- The Footlab model makes Groningen the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is Groningen vs PEC Zwolle played?
- Groningen vs PEC Zwolle is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.