Fezzanese vs Alessandria: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miro Luperi, Sarzana
The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fezzanese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alessandria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,712 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fezzanese vs Alessandria?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Fezzanese (1,623) and Alessandria (1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fezzanese vs Alessandria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fezzanese
Not enough data to predict the Fezzanese lineup.
Alessandria
4-3-3- 31T. Busatto
- 29K. Laukžemis
- 14A. Pellitteri
- 4M. Nichetti
- 24A. Mastalli
- 66A. Sepe
- 23S. Ciancio
- 3E. Rossi
- 17E. Gega
- 5F. Cusumano
- 1A. Farroni
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 04:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fezzanese have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Alessandria have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alessandria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valenzana(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lascaris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fezzanese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 2-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Fezzanese wins, 0 draws, 1 Alessandria win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alessandria 2-0 Fezzanese | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Alessandria vs Fezzanese on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fezzanese score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alessandria score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fezzanese | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Alessandria | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fezzanese sit 16th in Serie D - Girone A (7 points from 8 matches) and Alessandria sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alessandria | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 21 |
| 16 | Fezzanese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Fezzanese vs Alessandria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fezzanese vs Alessandria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alessandria the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Fezzanese.
- Where and when is Fezzanese vs Alessandria played?
- Fezzanese vs Alessandria is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miro Luperi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.