FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Kaplakrikavöllur, Hafnarfjörður
The Footlab model makes Keflavik the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FH hafnarfjordur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate FH hafnarfjordur (1,683) and Keflavik (1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FH hafnarfjordur have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Keflavik have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IA Akranes(away) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 2-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KA Akureyri(away) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(away) | 2-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stjarnan(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | KA Akureyri(home) | 3-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 1-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FH hafnarfjordur win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Keflavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Keflavik 1-2 FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 26, 2024 | FH hafnarfjordur 1-4 Keflavik | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Keflavik 2-3 FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 8, 2023 | FH hafnarfjordur 2-1 Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Keflavik 2-3 FH hafnarfjordur | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 22, 2022 | FH hafnarfjordur 3-0 Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: Keflavik vs FH hafnarfjordur on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FH hafnarfjordur score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Keflavik score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FH hafnarfjordur | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Keflavik | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FH hafnarfjordur sit 12th in Úrvalsdeild (2 points from 9 matches) and Keflavik sit 7th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Keflavik | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 22 |
| 10 | FH hafnarfjordur | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 17 |
| 10 | FH hafnarfjordur | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 17 |
| 12 | FH hafnarfjordur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik?
- The Footlab model makes Keflavik the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FH hafnarfjordur.
- Where and when is FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik played?
- FH hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Kaplakrikavöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.