Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Origovöllurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Valur Reykjavik the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for IA Akranes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Valur Reykjavik (1,770) and IA Akranes (1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valur Reykjavik have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; IA Akranes have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | KA Akureyri(home) | 4-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Breidablik(away) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 2-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 2-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(home) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 5-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Keflavik(away) | 2-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valur Reykjavik win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 IA Akranes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | IA Akranes 1-0 Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IA Akranes 2-1 Valur Reykjavik | League Cup |
| Aug 5, 2025 | IA Akranes 2-2 Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 10, 2025 | Valur Reykjavik 6-1 IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 15, 2025 | IA Akranes 1-1 Valur Reykjavik | League Cup |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Valur Reykjavik 6-1 IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik on Jun 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valur Reykjavik score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; IA Akranes score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| IA Akranes | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valur Reykjavik sit 5th in Úrvalsdeild (15 points from 10 matches) and IA Akranes sit 6th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 22 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 37 | 25 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 36 | 22 |
| 7 | Valur Reykjavik | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?
- The Footlab model makes Valur Reykjavik the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for IA Akranes.
- Where and when is Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes played?
- Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:15 PM (UTC) at Origovöllurinn, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.