Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Framvöllur, Reykjavík
The Footlab model makes Fram Reykjavik the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for KA Akureyri. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
Fram Reykjavik starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fram Reykjavik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; KA Akureyri have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Stjarnan(home) | 3-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 10, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 2-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 2-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 3-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KR Reykjavik(home) | 3-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 4-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Keflavik(away) | 0-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fram Reykjavik win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 KA Akureyri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | KA Akureyri 3-4 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 24, 2025 | KA Akureyri 2-0 Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 29, 2025 | Fram Reykjavik 1-2 KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild |
| May 15, 2025 | KA Akureyri 2-4 Fram Reykjavik | Cup |
| Feb 27, 2025 | KA Akureyri 2-5 Fram Reykjavik | League Cup |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Fram Reykjavik 1-4 KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild |
Last archived meeting: KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik on Jun 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fram Reykjavik score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; KA Akureyri score 1.7 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| KA Akureyri | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fram Reykjavik sit 3rd in Úrvalsdeild (20 points from 9 matches) and KA Akureyri sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 20 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 34 | 37 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 35 | 40 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 36 | 15 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
- The Footlab model makes Fram Reykjavik the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for KA Akureyri.
- Where and when is Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri played?
- Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Framvöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.