IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri: prediction and stats
ÚrvalsdeildRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hásteinsvöllur, Vestmannaeyjar
The Footlab model makes IBV Vestmannaeyjar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Thor Akureyri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate IBV Vestmannaeyjar (1,676) and Thor Akureyri (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IBV Vestmannaeyjar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Thor Akureyri have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keflavik(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IA Akranes(home) | 1-3 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 2-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fram Reykjavik(home) | 1-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Breidablik(away) | 0-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stjarnan(away) | 2-4 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Keflavik(home) | 0-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IA Akranes(away) | 0-2 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Breidablik(home) | 1-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2026 | KA Akureyri(away) | 0-0 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Thor Akureyri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Thor Akureyri 1-4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Thor Akureyri 0-3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild |
| May 20, 2024 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Thor Akureyri 0-1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1. Deild |
| Jun 14, 2021 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild |
| Sep 21, 2020 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 Thor Akureyri | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IBV Vestmannaeyjar score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Thor Akureyri score 1.0 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Thor Akureyri | 1.0 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IBV Vestmannaeyjar sit 11th in Úrvalsdeild (5 points from 9 matches) and Thor Akureyri sit 10th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 17 |
| 9 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 41 | 17 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 6 |
| 11 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 5 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 15 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 46 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri?
- The Footlab model makes IBV Vestmannaeyjar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Thor Akureyri.
- Where and when is IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri played?
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hásteinsvöllur, in the Úrvalsdeild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.