Finn Harps vs Kerry: result 1-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 13, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
Full time
What was the result of Finn Harps vs Kerry?
Finn Harps and Kerry drew 1-1 on October 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 43′L. PalmerKerry (pen.)
- 71′S. BradleyFinn Harps
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Kerry have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Dundalk(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 1-4 | First Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Wexford(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Cork City(home) | 0-3 | FAI Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Wexford(home) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-6 | FAI Cup |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Treaty United(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Athlone Town(away) | 0-0 | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | UCD(away) | 1-2 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Finn Harps win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2025 | Kerry 0-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Finn Harps 4-2 Kerry | First Division |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Kerry 1-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-0 Kerry | First Division |
| May 24, 2024 | Kerry 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Kerry | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finn Harps sit 9th in First Division (18 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy