Finn Harps vs UCD: result 3-4 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 17, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
Full time
What was the result of Finn Harps vs UCD?
UCD won 3-4 on October 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′G. LombotoFinn Harps
- 19′A. BrennanUCD
- 27′C. LennoxUCD
- 41′A. BrennanUCD
- 50′J. DoyleUCD
- 78′C. TourishFinn Harps
- 89′Joel Bradley-WalshFinn Harps (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; UCD have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | Kerry(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Dundalk(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 1-4 | First Division |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Wexford(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Wexford(away) | 3-0 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Dundalk(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Kerry(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Longford Town(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Finn Harps win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 UCD win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | Finn Harps 3-0 UCD | FAI Cup |
| Jul 11, 2025 | UCD 3-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| May 23, 2025 | Finn Harps 1-2 UCD | First Division |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCD 1-1 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Aug 23, 2024 | UCD 2-0 Finn Harps | First Division |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Finn Harps 1-1 UCD | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| UCD | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finn Harps sit 9th in First Division (18 points from 20 matches) and UCD sit 2nd (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | UCD | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | UCD | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 18 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 56 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy