Finn Harps vs UCD: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 28, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Finn Park, Ballybofey
Full time
What was the result of Finn Harps vs UCD?
UCD won 1-3 on October 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 28′Conor TourishFinn Harps
- 29′M. DignamUCD
- 73′T. LonerganUCD
- 79′T. LonerganUCD (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finn Harps have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; UCD have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2022 | Bohemians(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Dundalk(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Derry City(away) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Shelbourne(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Bohemians(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | Shelbourne(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Drogheda United(home) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Sligo Rovers(home) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Bohemians(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Finn Harps win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 UCD win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2022 | UCD 2-1 Finn Harps | Premier Division |
| May 13, 2022 | Finn Harps 0-1 UCD | Premier Division |
| Feb 25, 2022 | UCD 0-0 Finn Harps | Premier Division |
| Oct 4, 2019 | Finn Harps 0-0 UCD | Premier Division |
| Jul 5, 2019 | UCD 1-0 Finn Harps | Premier Division |
| May 3, 2019 | Finn Harps 3-0 UCD | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Finn Harps score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Harps | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| UCD | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy