FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Slovan Liberec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate FK Jablonec (2,011) and Slovan Liberec (1,986).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Slovan Liberec have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FK Jablonec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Slovan Liberec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | FK Jablonec 2-1 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Apr 25, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-2 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Slovan Liberec 0-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Slovan Liberec 0-5 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Slovan Liberec 3-3 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Liberec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Slovan Liberec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Jablonec sit 5th in Czech Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Slovan Liberec sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Slovan Liberec.
- Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec played?
- FK Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.