Slovácko vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherské Hradiště
The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Slovácko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovácko vs Pardubice?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Slovácko (1,819) and Pardubice (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovácko have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pardubice have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-5 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Slovácko win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Slovácko 2-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Pardubice 1-1 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Slovácko 1-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Slovácko 1-1 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Pardubice 0-1 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Slovácko 1-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slovácko vs Pardubice on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovácko score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovácko sit 14th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Slovácko | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovácko vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Pardubice the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Slovácko.
- Where and when is Slovácko vs Pardubice played?
- Slovácko vs Pardubice is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.