FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Neftekhimik, Nizhnekamsk
The Footlab AI model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1. If FK Neftekhimik wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate FK Neftekhimik (1,720) and Leningradets (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FK Neftekhimik
3-3-3-1- 12E. Mukba
- 8D. Sukhomlinov
- 38V. Aleynikov
- 19L. Sharifullin
- 85I. Pyatkin
- 96N. Vasilyev
- 15A. Bondar
- 6N. Pechenkin
- 24A. Kakhidze
- 22I. Khomukha
- 98A. Ismagilov
Leningradets
3-4-2-1- 32A. Kulishev
- 6D. Rodin
- 10E. Zarypbekov
- 21A. Makarov
- 78G. Kiselev
- 7D. Nikitin
- 5K. Morozov
- 4R. Kudryavtsev
- 44N. Kalugin
- 37K. Isaev
- 96A. Kuznetsov
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Neftekhimik have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Leningradets have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 2-4 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ural(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Chertanovo Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Luki-Energiya(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 0-6 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FK Neftekhimik win, 0 draws, 1 Leningradets win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2024 | FK Neftekhimik 1-2 Leningradets | First League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Leningradets 1-2 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets on May 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FK Neftekhimik score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leningradets score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Leningradets | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Neftekhimik sit 16th in First League (12 points from 14 matches) and Leningradets sit 15th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 12 |
A question about FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets?
- The Footlab AI model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Leningradets.
- Where and when is FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets played?
- FK Neftekhimik vs Leningradets is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neftekhimik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.