Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Arsenal, Tula
The Footlab AI model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arsenal Tula. The most likely score is 1-1. If KAMAZ wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Arsenal Tula (1,749) and KAMAZ (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal Tula
3-4-1-2- 19N. Glushkov
- 11R. Magomedov
- 77D. Plotnikov
- 25A. Biryukov
- 35I. Enin
- 21N. Razdorskikh
- 14M. Brnović
- 4D. Penchikov
- 82A. Alekhin
- 44O. Isaenko
- 42A. Melikhov
KAMAZ
4-2-3-1- 18A. Popov
- 10R. Zashchepkin
- 79V. Semenov
- 2D. Khubaev
- 99R. Akbashev
- 83M. Laykin
- 7R. Ayukin
- 67R. Tkachuk
- 27R. Manuylov
- 15M. Burko
- 31A. Anisimov
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tula have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; KAMAZ have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Enisey(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal Tula wins, 3 draws, 1 KAMAZ win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | KAMAZ 1-1 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Arsenal Tula 1-1 KAMAZ | First League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | KAMAZ 2-1 Arsenal Tula | First League |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Arsenal Tula 1-0 KAMAZ | First League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Arsenal Tula 2-0 KAMAZ | First League |
| Aug 21, 2023 | KAMAZ 0-0 Arsenal Tula | First League |
Last archived meeting: KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tula score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; KAMAZ score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| KAMAZ | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arsenal Tula sit 10th in First League (16 points from 13 matches) and KAMAZ sit 16th (10 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 16 |
| 16 | KAMAZ | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 10 |
A question about Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes KAMAZ the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Arsenal Tula.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ played?
- Arsenal Tula vs KAMAZ is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Arsenal, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.