Flacăra Moreni vs Tunari: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Flacăra, Moreni
The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Tunari. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flacăra Moreni vs Tunari?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Flacăra Moreni (1,550) and Tunari (1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flacăra Moreni have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tunari have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Chindia Targoviste(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 7-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(away) | 7-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 15, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Flacăra Moreni win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Tunari win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Tunari 4-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Flacăra Moreni 0-1 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 19, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-2 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 3, 2023 | Tunari 6-1 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Flacăra Moreni 1-0 Tunari | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Tunari 2-0 Flacăra Moreni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tunari vs Flacăra Moreni on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Flacăra Moreni score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tunari score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flacăra Moreni | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tunari | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flacăra Moreni vs Tunari?
- The Footlab model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Tunari.
- Where and when is Flacăra Moreni vs Tunari played?
- Flacăra Moreni vs Tunari is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Flacăra, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.