Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Flacăra, Moreni
The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Progresul Draganesti. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti?
Flacăra Moreni starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,512).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flacăra Moreni
Not enough data to predict the Flacăra Moreni lineup.
Progresul Draganesti
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Draganesti lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flacăra Moreni have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Progresul Draganesti have 3, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Viitorul Corbeanca(home) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Râmnicu Sărat(away) | 5-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 6-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Păuleşti(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tunari(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Păuleşti(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Berca(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Plopeni(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Flacăra Moreni score 3.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Draganesti score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flacăra Moreni | 3.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Progresul Draganesti | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flacăra Moreni sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 3 (19 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Draganesti sit 5th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flacăra Moreni | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Progresul Draganesti | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flacăra Moreni the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Progresul Draganesti.
- Where and when is Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti played?
- Flacăra Moreni vs Progresul Draganesti is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Flacăra, in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.