Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 3Group 3 - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Voința Crevedia the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Plopeni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Voința Crevedia (1,434) and Plopeni (1,346).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Voința Crevedia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Plopeni have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Urban Titu(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Urban Titu(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 1, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Oţelul II(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Victoria Traian(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Păuleşti(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Unirea Braniştea(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Voința Crevedia score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Plopeni score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voința Crevedia | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Plopeni | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni?
- The Footlab model makes Voința Crevedia the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Plopeni.
- Where and when is Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni played?
- Voința Crevedia vs Plopeni is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.