Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 29, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Flamengo won 1-0 on September 29, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′GersonFlamengo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2024 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Gremio(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Penarol(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2024 | Racing Club(away) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Racing Club(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flamengo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico Paranaense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Flamengo 0-3 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 0-2 Flamengo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 6, 2023 | Flamengo 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 7, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 2-1 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Flamengo 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Flamengo on Jun 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 2nd in Serie A (45 points from 23 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd (41 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 20 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy