Flamengo vs Gremio: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 16, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Flamengo vs Gremio?
Flamengo and Gremio drew 1-1 on September 16, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. MorenoGremio
- 62′AdryanFlamengo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flamengo have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gremio have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2012 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2012 | Coritiba(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Ponte Preta(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2012 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2012 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2012 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Flamengo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2012 | Gremio 2-0 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Gremio 4-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2011 | Flamengo 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2010 | Gremio 2-2 Flamengo | Serie A |
| May 29, 2010 | Flamengo 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Flamengo score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flamengo sit 2nd in Serie A (45 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy