Fleetwood Town vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleetwood Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,474 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Northampton?
Fleetwood Town starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,766 vs 1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fleetwood Town vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 10M. Helm
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 15A. Murphy
- 26S. Rooney
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 1J. Lynch
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 8L. Evans
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 44J. Donacien
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 04:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Northampton have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fleetwood Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Northampton 3-0 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 0-0 Northampton | League One |
| Dec 1, 2020 | Northampton 1-0 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Fleetwood Town 2-0 Northampton | League One |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Northampton 0-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Northampton on Apr 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Northampton | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 16th in League Two (17 points from 14 matches) and Northampton sit 21st (14 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Fleetwood Town vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Northampton played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Northampton is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.