Walsall vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Walsall the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Walsall vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Walsall (1,776) and Newport County (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Walsall have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Newport County have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-5 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Walsall win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Newport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Walsall 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Newport County 2-4 Walsall | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Newport County 0-0 Walsall | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Walsall 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Walsall 0-3 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Newport County 3-3 Walsall | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Walsall vs Newport County on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Walsall score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport County | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Walsall sit 3rd in League Two (4 points from 2 matches) and Newport County sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Walsall vs Newport County?
- The Footlab model makes Walsall the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Walsall vs Newport County played?
- Walsall vs Newport County is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Poundland Bescot Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.