Rochdale vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Cheltenham?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Cheltenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 26J. Shipley
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 33F. Willcox
- 7B. Stevenson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 6J. Wilson
- 17S. McWilliams
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cheltenham have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 0 Cheltenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Rochdale 2-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Cheltenham 1-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2013 | Cheltenham 0-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Rochdale 4-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Cheltenham on Apr 26, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 13th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Cheltenham sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Rochdale vs Cheltenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Cheltenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Cheltenham played?
- Rochdale vs Cheltenham is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.