Port Vale vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Crawley Town?
Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 10K. Dempsey
- 3J. Headley
- 8B. Garrity
- 33G. Hall
- 5C. Hall
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 20M. Maroši
Crawley Town
4-4-2- 14G. Di Biase
- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 30Kai Jennings
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 6P. Farquharson
- 5C. Barker
- 12L. Richards
- 24A. Odimayo
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 07:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Port Vale wins, 1 draw, 0 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | Port Vale 4-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Crawley Town 1-4 Port Vale | League Two |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Crawley Town 1-3 Port Vale | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Port Vale 2-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Crawley Town 0-0 Port Vale | League Two |
| Jan 19, 2019 | Crawley Town 0-1 Port Vale | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Crawley Town on Mar 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 21st in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Port Vale | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Port Vale vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Crawley Town played?
- Port Vale vs Crawley Town is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.