Fleetwood Town vs Oldham: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 7Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Oldham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Oldham?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Fleetwood Town (1,763) and Oldham (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fleetwood Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Oldham have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fleetwood Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Oldham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Oldham 1-1 Fleetwood Town | League Two |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Fleetwood Town 5-2 Oldham | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Oldham 1-2 Fleetwood Town | League One |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Fleetwood Town 2-2 Oldham | League One |
| Apr 8, 2017 | Oldham 2-0 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Fleetwood Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fleetwood Town score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oldham score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Oldham | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fleetwood Town sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (7 points from 3 matches) and Oldham sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fleetwood Town vs Oldham?
- The Footlab model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Oldham.
- Where and when is Fleetwood Town vs Oldham played?
- Fleetwood Town vs Oldham is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Highbury Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.