Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Flint Town United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flint Town United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Colwyn Bay have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flint Town United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Colwyn Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 1-2 Flint Town United | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Flint Town United 0-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Colwyn Bay 1-1 Flint Town United | League Cup |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Flint Town United 3-2 Colwyn Bay | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Flint Town United 1-2 Colwyn Bay | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2019 | Colwyn Bay 0-1 Flint Town United | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Colwyn Bay vs Flint Town United on Jan 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flint Town United score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Town United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flint Town United sit 13th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and Colwyn Bay sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Flint Town United.
- Where and when is Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay played?
- Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Essity Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.