Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Old Road, Briton Ferry
The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Briton Ferry have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; GAP Connah S Quay FC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ballkani(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Briton Ferry win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-3 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Briton Ferry 1-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 0-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 2-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Briton Ferry 1-5 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Briton Ferry on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GAP Connah S Quay FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Briton Ferry sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
- The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC played?
- Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FC is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Old Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.