Flora II vs Elva: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 3, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Elva have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | Tartu Welco(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Luunja(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Elva(home) | 3-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Maardu(away) | 5-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Vaprus(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | Pärnu(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Nõmme United(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Flora II(away) | 5-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Vaprus(home) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Luunja(away) | 3-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flora II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Elva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2020 | Flora II 3-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Elva 1-1 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Flora II 5-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Elva 0-1 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 23, 2019 | Flora II 5-1 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2019 | Elva 3-2 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Flora II score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Elva | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora II sit 3rd in Esiliiga A (26 points from 13 matches) and Elva sit 4th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 40 |
| 4 | Elva | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| 4 | Elva | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy