Flora II vs FC Tallinn: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for FC Tallinn. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora II vs FC Tallinn?
Flora II starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,374 vs 1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC Tallinn have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Elva(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Nõmme United II(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maardu(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flora II(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Flora II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Tallinn win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn 1-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 18, 2026 | FC Tallinn 1-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Flora II 5-0 FC Tallinn | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Flora II 2-4 FC Tallinn | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FC Tallinn 2-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | FC Tallinn 1-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: FC Tallinn vs Flora II on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora II score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tallinn score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora II | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| FC Tallinn | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora II sit 3rd in Esiliiga A (26 points from 13 matches) and FC Tallinn sit 10th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 41 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 54 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Tallinn | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora II vs FC Tallinn?
- The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for FC Tallinn.
- Where and when is Flora II vs FC Tallinn played?
- Flora II vs FC Tallinn is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Sportland Arena, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.