Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Kadrioru staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Viimsi the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Tallinna Kalev. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Tallinna Kalev (1,367) and Viimsi (1,434).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tallinna Kalev have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Viimsi have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elva(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Nõmme United II(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Helios(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maardu(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tallinna Kalev win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Viimsi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Viimsi 1-2 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
| May 27, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev 0-3 Viimsi | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Viimsi 2-0 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Viimsi 3-1 Tallinna Kalev | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev 4-1 Viimsi | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Viimsi | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Viimsi vs Tallinna Kalev on Aug 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tallinna Kalev score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Viimsi score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallinna Kalev | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Viimsi | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tallinna Kalev sit 5th in Esiliiga A (18 points from 16 matches) and Viimsi sit 2nd (30 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Viimsi | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 30 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 44 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 18 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi?
- The Footlab model makes Viimsi the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Tallinna Kalev.
- Where and when is Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi played?
- Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Kadrioru staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.