Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Nõmme United II the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for FCI Levadia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Nõmme United II (1,279) and FCI Levadia II (1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme United II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; FCI Levadia II have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elva(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nõmme United II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FCI Levadia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nõmme United II 1-2 FCI Levadia II | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 4-2 Nõmme United II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 16, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 0-1 Nõmme United II | Esiliiga A |
| Jan 17, 2026 | FCI Levadia II 2-2 Nõmme United II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme United II score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; FCI Levadia II score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United II | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| FCI Levadia II | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme United II sit 6th in Esiliiga A (18 points from 14 matches) and FCI Levadia II sit 9th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nõmme United II | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 18 |
| 7 | FCI Levadia II | 25 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 48 | 34 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 56 | 27 |
| 9 | FCI Levadia II | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II?
- The Footlab model makes Nõmme United II the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for FCI Levadia II.
- Where and when is Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II played?
- Nõmme United II vs FCI Levadia II is played on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.