Tartu Welco vs Elva: result 4-0 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Tartu Welco won 4-0 on October 9, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 44′U. MalkiTartu Welco
- 46′E. VeensaluTartu Welco
- 66′H. KäblikTartu Welco
- 90′A. KiivitTartu Welco
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tartu Welco win at 51%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Elva have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 2-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | FCI Levadia II(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tartu Welco wins, 1 draw, 2 Elva wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elva 2-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Elva 0-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Tartu Welco 3-3 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Tartu Welco 3-2 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Elva 1-2 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 2-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elva score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Elva | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (71 points from 33 matches) and Elva sit 4th (49 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 96 | 42 | 71 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 47 | 48 | 49 |
A question about Tartu Welco vs Elva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy